2025 housing forecast
On Friday, November 15 at 7 am, the Home Building Association of Greater Portland hosted the annual Housing Forecast at the Oregon Convention Center. More than 500 industry professionals and government officials gathered for this informative breakfast highlighted by insight and analysis with unique perspectives on the housing industry.
The 2025 Housing Forecast presented by Parr featured NAHB Chief Economist/SVP Dr. Robert Dietz, among other guest speakers/economists. They discussed what 2025 holds for the housing market and our industry as a whole, including economic and building issues, as well as trends and predictions related to different market segments such as multi-family, single-family, infill, and remodeling.
Josh Lehner, US Economist with SGH Macro Advisors, focused on relevant housing and economic data at the state and local level. Mr. Lehner’s presentation included housing related data and foreseeable challenges from his perspective, and the forces driving the Metro Portland market. Both economists took audience questions at the end of the program.
Thank you to our sponsors:
The 2025 Housing Forecast presented by Parr featured NAHB Chief Economist/SVP Dr. Robert Dietz, among other guest speakers/economists. They discussed what 2025 holds for the housing market and our industry as a whole, including economic and building issues, as well as trends and predictions related to different market segments such as multi-family, single-family, infill, and remodeling.
Josh Lehner, US Economist with SGH Macro Advisors, focused on relevant housing and economic data at the state and local level. Mr. Lehner’s presentation included housing related data and foreseeable challenges from his perspective, and the forces driving the Metro Portland market. Both economists took audience questions at the end of the program.
Thank you to our sponsors:
Thank you for joining us at the 2025 housing forecast presented by parr!
Mark your calendars! The 2026 Housing Forecast presented by Parr will take place on Thursday, October 23, 2025 at 7:00 am at the Oregon Convention Center.
Dr. robert dietz - CLICK HERE FOR SLIDES FROM THE 2025 Housing Forecast
Chief Economist & Senior VP for Economics and Housing Policy, National Association of Home Builders
Robert Dietz, Ph.D., is Chief Economist and Senior Vice President for Economics and Housing Policy for NAHB, where his responsibilities include housing market analysis, economic forecasting and industry surveys, and housing policy research. Dr. Dietz has published academic research on the private and social benefits of homeownership, federal tax expenditure estimation, and other housing and tax issues in peer-reviewed journals, including the Journal of Urban Economics, Journal of Housing Research, the National Tax Journal and the NBER Working Paper series. He has testified before the House Ways and Means Committee, the Senate Finance Committee, and the Senate Banking Subcommittee on Economic Policy on housing and economic issues. Prior to joining NAHB in 2005, Robert worked as an economist for the Congressional Joint Committee on Taxation, specializing in revenue estimation of legislative proposals involving housing, urban development, and other business tax issues. He is a native of Dayton, Ohio and earned a Ph.D. in Economics from the Ohio State University in 2003.
Robert Dietz, Ph.D., is Chief Economist and Senior Vice President for Economics and Housing Policy for NAHB, where his responsibilities include housing market analysis, economic forecasting and industry surveys, and housing policy research. Dr. Dietz has published academic research on the private and social benefits of homeownership, federal tax expenditure estimation, and other housing and tax issues in peer-reviewed journals, including the Journal of Urban Economics, Journal of Housing Research, the National Tax Journal and the NBER Working Paper series. He has testified before the House Ways and Means Committee, the Senate Finance Committee, and the Senate Banking Subcommittee on Economic Policy on housing and economic issues. Prior to joining NAHB in 2005, Robert worked as an economist for the Congressional Joint Committee on Taxation, specializing in revenue estimation of legislative proposals involving housing, urban development, and other business tax issues. He is a native of Dayton, Ohio and earned a Ph.D. in Economics from the Ohio State University in 2003.
Josh Lehner - CLick here for SLIDES FROM THE 2025 Housing Forecast
US Economist, SGH Macro Advisors
Josh Lehner joined SGH in 2024 as US Economist, supporting Chief US Economist Tim Duy. He joined SGH after 16 years of public service as an Economist with the State of Oregon’s Office of Economic Analysis, including an interim role as Chief Economist to assist the state transition its economic team after Lehner’s departure to the private sector.
In his years with the state of Oregon, during which he formed a strong relationship with Duy, Lehner developed the quarterly Oregon economic forecast, including outlooks for employment, income, and housing. Lehner also acted as the state’s de facto vice economist by forecasting gaming, judicial, marijuana and tobacco revenues.
Lehner’s economic research is regularly cited by local and national media, and prior to joining the state he published a paper on the border tax effect between Oregon, Washington, and Idaho. He earned his B.A. in Economics from the University of Colorado, and an M.S. in Economics from Portland State University. Outside of work, Josh enjoys spending time with his wife and kids, traveling the country, camping, and consuming Oregon’s craft beverages.
Josh Lehner joined SGH in 2024 as US Economist, supporting Chief US Economist Tim Duy. He joined SGH after 16 years of public service as an Economist with the State of Oregon’s Office of Economic Analysis, including an interim role as Chief Economist to assist the state transition its economic team after Lehner’s departure to the private sector.
In his years with the state of Oregon, during which he formed a strong relationship with Duy, Lehner developed the quarterly Oregon economic forecast, including outlooks for employment, income, and housing. Lehner also acted as the state’s de facto vice economist by forecasting gaming, judicial, marijuana and tobacco revenues.
Lehner’s economic research is regularly cited by local and national media, and prior to joining the state he published a paper on the border tax effect between Oregon, Washington, and Idaho. He earned his B.A. in Economics from the University of Colorado, and an M.S. in Economics from Portland State University. Outside of work, Josh enjoys spending time with his wife and kids, traveling the country, camping, and consuming Oregon’s craft beverages.